L’École des cotes

Platense v Independiente Santa Fe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-29 22:00 UTC

Score final : Platense 2–1 Independiente Santa Fe

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Platense (Local)

Prévision 50.18%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.28%50.22%50.19%51.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.851.851.9558.14%54.01%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente Santa Fe (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.70%4.83cote équitable
EV -0.620%
Avantage -0.129%
Kelly -0.163%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.66%20.58%20.76%22.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.454.404.8026.32%22.49%22.73%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.12%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.61%29.20%29.05%31.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.163.203.3035.71%31.69%31.25%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.63%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 17:44
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.63%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 17:44
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV -1.65%E -0.348%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 19:10
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.07%EV -1.03%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.16%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 19:30
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 17:44
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:44
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:49
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.41%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.58%EV -5.17%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:15
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.77%EV -1.03%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.16%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:14
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.02%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.620%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.02%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.620%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:10
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:04
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 19:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 19:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 19:29
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.82%EV -7.67%E -4.17%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.07%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:10
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:09
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:09
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 19:10
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 17:45
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 17:44
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 17:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -18.48%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-21 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.89%EV -10.18%E -5.69%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.09%EV -10.61%E -3.46%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 11:08
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.58%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -17.18%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.88%EV -13.69%E -7.96%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.13%EV -21.32%E -5.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.99%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-23 11:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 49.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48%13.8%2026-04-23 11:10