La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Platense v Independiente Santa Fe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Platense (Local)
Predicción 50.18%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.28%50.22%50.19%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.851.851.9558.14%54.01%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente Santa Fe (Visitante)
Predicción 20.70%4.83momio equitativo
EV -0.620%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.163%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.66%20.58%20.76%22.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.454.404.8026.32%22.49%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.61%29.20%29.05%31.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.163.203.3035.71%31.69%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.63%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.63%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV -1.65%E -0.348%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.07%EV -1.03%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.16%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.41%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.58%EV -5.17%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 00:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.77%EV -1.03%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.16%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.02%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.620%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.02%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.620%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 06:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 19:25 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 19:25 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.82%EV -7.67%E -4.17%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.07%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 22:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -18.48%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.89%EV -10.18%E -5.69%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.09%EV -10.61%E -3.46%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 11:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.58%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -17.18%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.88%EV -13.69%E -7.96%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.13%EV -21.32%E -5.61%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.99%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |