Language:English
Platense v Fluminense-RJ
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 31.95%3.13fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.407%
Kelly +0.595%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.01%32.01%31.94%32.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.853.1737.04%34.75%35.09%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fluminense-RJ (Visit)
Prediction 35.03%2.85fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.550%
Kelly +0.839%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.53%34.99%35.10%36.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.662.652.9040.82%37.61%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.01%3.03fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.77%33.00%32.96%33.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.792.802.9938.02%35.85%35.71%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 31.95%; Fluminense-RJ (Visit): 35.03%; Draw: 33.01%. For Fluminense-RJ (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +1.59%E +0.550%K +0.839%G +0.013% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +1.59%E +0.550%K +0.839%G +0.013% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -1.21%E -0.428%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.78%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -3.60%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.24%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.24%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.58%EV -6.46%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.77%EV -1.29%E -0.430%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.61%E -0.884%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -6.90%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -6.90%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.01%EV +1.29%E +0.407%K +0.595%G +0.008% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.73%EV -9.27%E -3.58%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -5.58%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 21:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.20%E -3.75%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -14.17%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 1.6% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |