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Platense v Fluminense-RJ

2026-09-15 22:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Platense (Local)

Prediction 34.16%2.93fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.804%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.53%34.73%34.28%38.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.602.622.8643.48%38.42%38.17%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fluminense-RJ (Visit)

Prediction 34.13%2.93fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.30%34.27%34.03%35.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.702.8641.67%37.61%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.71%3.15fair odd
EV +9.39%
Edge +2.72%
Kelly +3.83%
Growth +0.360%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.15%31.00%31.69%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.683.002.913.4537.31%33.30%34.42%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Platense (Local): 34.16%; Fluminense-RJ (Visit): 34.13%; Draw: 31.71%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.45, producing a positive expected value of +9.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -15.62%E -6.33%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.26%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV +9.39%E +2.72%K +3.83%G +0.360%7.9%2026-09-09 02:49
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -16.31%E -6.66%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -11.26%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV +7.81%E +2.30%K +3.25%G +0.254%8.7%2026-09-09 02:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -21.43%E -9.32%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -16.38%E -6.68%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV +6.22%E +1.86%K +2.65%G +0.165%14.1%2026-09-09 03:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -21.43%E -9.32%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -18.08%E -7.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV +3.05%E +0.938%K +1.36%G +0.041%15.9%2026-09-09 03:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -21.43%E -9.32%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -16.38%E -6.68%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV +1.46%E +0.458%K +0.666%G +0.010%15.5%2026-09-09 02:49
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -1.71%E -0.550%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 04:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -1.71%E -0.550%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 04:29
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.09%EV -10.84%E -4.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.52%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -1.71%E -0.550%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 04:09
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -9.55%E -3.60%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 04:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.26%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 04:29
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.53%EV -2.30%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.53%EV -2.38%E -0.833%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 04:29
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 04:44
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 04:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 04:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 04:44
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.26%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 04:15
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.69%EV -4.69%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -3.75%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 04:10
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 04:15
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.84%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 04:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.63%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -9.55%E -3.60%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.00%EV -15.02%E -5.61%K -8.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 04:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 37.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%13.5%2026-09-09 02:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-09-09 04:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-09-09 04:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-09-09 04:30
Arbitrage (9 combinations) +1.10%1xBet 2.86 (35.3%) / 1xBet 2.86 (35.3%) / Codere (IT) 3.45 (29.3%)Show all 9 combinations
Platense (Local)Fluminense-RJ (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.3%)1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.3%)Codere (IT)🎯 3.45 (29.3%)+1.10%
1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.2%)1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.2%)LeoVegas🎯 3.40 (29.6%)+0.663%
1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.82 (35.7%)Codere (IT)🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.592%
1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.1%)GTbets🎯 2.81 (35.8%)Codere (IT)🎯 3.45 (29.1%)+0.464%
Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.1%)Codere (IT)🎯 3.45 (29.1%)+0.336%
1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.0%)1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.0%)Winamax (DE)🎯 3.35 (29.9%)+0.220%
Pinnacle🎯 2.79 (35.9%)1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.0%)Codere (IT)🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.208%
1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.82 (35.5%)LeoVegas🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.162%
1xBet🎯 2.86 (35.0%)GTbets🎯 2.81 (35.6%)LeoVegas🎯 3.40 (29.4%)+0.036%