Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Platense v Fluminense-RJ

Inizio: 2026-09-15 22:00 UTC

Finale: Platense 2–1 Fluminense-RJ

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Platense (Casa)

Previsione 31.95%3.13quota equa
EV +1.29%
Vantaggio +0.407%
Kelly +0.595%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.01%32.01%31.94%32.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.882.853.1737.04%34.75%35.09%31.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Fluminense-RJ (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.03%2.85quota equa
EV +1.59%
Vantaggio +0.550%
Kelly +0.839%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.53%34.99%35.10%36.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.662.652.9040.82%37.61%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 33.01%3.03quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.430%
Kelly -0.646%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.77%33.00%32.96%33.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.792.802.9938.02%35.85%35.71%33.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Platense (Casa): 31.95%; Fluminense-RJ (Trasferta): 35.03%; Pareggio: 33.01%. Per Fluminense-RJ (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.85. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +1.59%E +0.550%K +0.839%G +0.013%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +1.59%E +0.550%K +0.839%G +0.013%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -1.21%E -0.428%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.78%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -3.60%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:15
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:15
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:15
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.24%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.24%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:25
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 21:25
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:50
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:51
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-15 21:55
GTbets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.58%EV -6.46%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.77%EV -1.29%E -0.430%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.61%E -0.884%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 21:30
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 21:30
theScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 21:30
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -6.90%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -6.90%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-15 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 21:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 21:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 21:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 21:45
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-15 21:15
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.01%EV +1.29%E +0.407%K +0.595%G +0.008%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.73%EV -9.27%E -3.58%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -5.58%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.20%E -3.75%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-15 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -14.17%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 21:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%1.6%2026-09-15 21:55