StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Platense v Fluminense-RJ

Matchstart: 2026-09-15 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Platense 2–1 Fluminense-RJ

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Platense (Hemma)

Prognos 31.95%3.13rättvist odds
EV +1.29%
Fördel +0.407%
Kelly +0.595%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.01%32.01%31.94%32.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.882.853.1737.04%34.75%35.09%31.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fluminense-RJ (Borta)

Prognos 35.03%2.85rättvist odds
EV +1.59%
Fördel +0.550%
Kelly +0.839%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.53%34.99%35.10%36.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.662.652.9040.82%37.61%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 33.01%3.03rättvist odds
EV -1.29%
Fördel -0.430%
Kelly -0.646%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.99

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.77%33.00%32.96%33.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.632.792.802.9938.02%35.85%35.71%33.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Platense (Hemma): 31.95%; Fluminense-RJ (Borta): 35.03%; Oavgjort: 33.01%. För Fluminense-RJ (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.85. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.59%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +1.59%E +0.550%K +0.839%G +0.013%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +1.59%E +0.550%K +0.839%G +0.013%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -1.21%E -0.428%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.78%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -3.60%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:15
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:15
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:15
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.24%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.24%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:25
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 21:25
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:50
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:51
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-15 21:55
GTbets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.58%EV -6.46%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.77%EV -1.29%E -0.430%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.61%E -0.884%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 21:30
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 21:30
theScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 21:30
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -6.90%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -6.90%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-15 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 21:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 21:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 21:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 21:45
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-15 21:15
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.01%EV +1.29%E +0.407%K +0.595%G +0.008%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.73%EV -9.27%E -3.58%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -5.58%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.20%E -3.75%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-15 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -14.17%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 21:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-09-15 21:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%1.6%2026-09-15 21:55