语言:简体中文
Platense v Fluminense-RJ
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Platense (主队)
预测 31.95%3.13公平赔率
EV +1.29%
优势 +0.407%
Kelly +0.595%
增长率 +0.008%
假设最高赔率为 3.17
博彩公司预测分布
30.01%32.01%31.94%32.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.882.853.1737.04%34.75%35.09%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fluminense-RJ (客队)
预测 35.03%2.85公平赔率
EV +1.59%
优势 +0.550%
Kelly +0.839%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 2.90
博彩公司预测分布
33.53%34.99%35.10%36.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.662.652.9040.82%37.61%37.74%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 33.01%3.03公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -0.430%
Kelly -0.646%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.99
博彩公司预测分布
31.77%33.00%32.96%33.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.792.802.9938.02%35.85%35.71%33.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Platense (主队)：31.95%；Fluminense-RJ (客队)：35.03%；平局：33.01%。 对于“Fluminense-RJ (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.85。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.90，对应+1.59%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +1.59%E +0.550%K +0.839%G +0.013% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +1.59%E +0.550%K +0.839%G +0.013% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -1.21%E -0.428%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.78%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -3.60%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.66%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.24%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.24%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 21:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.58%EV -6.46%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.77%EV -1.29%E -0.430%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.61%E -0.884%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -6.90%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -6.90%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -8.21%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.73%E -5.08%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -8.92%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.01%EV +1.29%E +0.407%K +0.595%G +0.008% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.73%EV -9.27%E -3.58%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -5.58%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 21:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -10.67%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.20%E -3.75%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.53%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.42%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -14.17%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 1.6% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |