Language:English
Nacional de Montevideo v Coquimbo Unido
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nacional de Montevideo (Local)
Prediction 42.90%2.33fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.72%43.20%42.91%47.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.112.122.2551.81%47.44%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coquimbo Unido (Visit)
Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV +10.72%
Edge +2.79%
Kelly +3.76%
Growth +0.404%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.31%28.54%28.70%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.353.353.8534.48%29.83%29.85%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.34%3.53fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.559%
Kelly +0.774%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.15%28.25%28.38%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.6032.26%30.31%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nacional de Montevideo (Local): 42.90%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 28.76%; Draw: 28.34%. For Coquimbo Unido (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -11.62%E -5.64%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +10.72%E +2.79%K +3.76%G +0.404% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -11.62%E -5.64%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +10.72%E +2.79%K +3.76%G +0.404% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -14.19%E -7.10%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -15.05%E -7.60%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -1.07%E -0.310%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -2.80%E -0.817%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -2.52%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -2.52%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -2.79%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.80%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.22%EV -4.81%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -5.67%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.19%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.01%EV -6.04%E -2.76%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.58%EV -11.42%E -3.71%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.60%E -5.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |