Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nacional de Montevideo v Coquimbo Unido

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Score final : Nacional de Montevideo 1–0 Coquimbo Unido

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nacional de Montevideo (Local)

Prévision 42.90%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.72%43.20%42.91%47.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.112.122.2551.81%47.44%47.17%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.76%3.48cote équitable
EV +10.72%
Avantage +2.79%
Kelly +3.76%
Croissance +0.404%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.31%28.54%28.70%30.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.353.353.8534.48%29.83%29.85%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.34%3.53cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +0.559%
Kelly +0.774%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.15%28.25%28.38%29.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.303.6032.26%30.31%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nacional de Montevideo (Local) : 42.90% ; Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur) : 28.76% ; Match nul : 28.34%. Pour Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.48. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +10.72%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -11.62%E -5.64%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +10.72%E +2.79%K +3.76%G +0.404%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -11.62%E -5.64%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +10.72%E +2.79%K +3.76%G +0.404%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -14.19%E -7.10%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -15.05%E -7.60%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -1.07%E -0.310%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -2.80%E -0.817%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:09
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -2.52%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -2.52%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -2.79%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.80%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:19
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Suprabets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.22%EV -4.81%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 00:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 00:20
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -5.67%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.19%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.01%EV -6.04%E -2.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.58%EV -11.42%E -3.71%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.60%E -5.72%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-05-27 00:20