StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nacional de Montevideo v Coquimbo Unido

Matchstart: 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Nacional de Montevideo 1–0 Coquimbo Unido

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nacional de Montevideo (Hemma)

Prognos 42.90%2.33rättvist odds
EV -3.47%
Fördel -1.54%
Kelly -2.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.72%43.20%42.91%47.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.932.112.122.2551.81%47.44%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Borta)

Prognos 28.76%3.48rättvist odds
EV +10.72%
Fördel +2.79%
Kelly +3.76%
Tillväxt +0.404%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.31%28.54%28.70%30.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.353.353.8534.48%29.83%29.85%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.34%3.53rättvist odds
EV +2.01%
Fördel +0.559%
Kelly +0.774%
Tillväxt +0.016%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.15%28.25%28.38%29.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.303.303.6032.26%30.31%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nacional de Montevideo (Hemma): 42.90%; Coquimbo Unido (Borta): 28.76%; Oavgjort: 28.34%. För Coquimbo Unido (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.48. 11 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.85, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +10.72%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -11.62%E -5.64%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +10.72%E +2.79%K +3.76%G +0.404%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -11.62%E -5.64%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +10.72%E +2.79%K +3.76%G +0.404%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -14.19%E -7.10%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -15.05%E -7.60%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -1.07%E -0.310%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -2.80%E -0.817%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:09
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -2.52%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -2.52%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -2.79%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.80%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:19
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Suprabets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.22%EV -4.81%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 00:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 00:20
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -5.67%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.19%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.01%EV -6.04%E -2.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.58%EV -11.42%E -3.71%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.60%E -5.72%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-05-27 00:20