La scuola delle quote

Nacional de Montevideo v Coquimbo Unido

Inizio: 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Finale: Nacional de Montevideo 1–0 Coquimbo Unido

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nacional de Montevideo (Casa)

Previsione 42.90%2.33quota equa
EV -3.47%
Vantaggio -1.54%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.72%43.20%42.91%47.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.112.122.2551.81%47.44%47.17%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Coquimbo Unido (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.76%3.48quota equa
EV +10.72%
Vantaggio +2.79%
Kelly +3.76%
Crescita +0.404%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.31%28.54%28.70%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.353.353.8534.48%29.83%29.85%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.34%3.53quota equa
EV +2.01%
Vantaggio +0.559%
Kelly +0.774%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.15%28.25%28.38%29.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.303.303.6032.26%30.31%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -11.62%E -5.64%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +10.72%E +2.79%K +3.76%G +0.404%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -11.62%E -5.64%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +10.72%E +2.79%K +3.76%G +0.404%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -14.19%E -7.10%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -15.05%E -7.60%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -15.48%E -7.86%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +6.41%E +1.73%K +2.37%G +0.152%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV +3.53%E +0.982%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -1.07%E -0.310%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -2.80%E -0.817%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:09
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.24%E -0.648%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -2.52%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:20
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -2.52%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 00:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:20
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -2.79%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.80%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 00:19
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Suprabets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.22%EV -4.81%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 00:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 00:20
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -5.67%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.19%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 42.01%EV -6.04%E -2.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.58%EV -11.42%E -3.71%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 00:19
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.60%E -5.72%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-05-27 00:20