Language:English
Mirassol v LDU Quito
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mirassol (Local)
Prediction 57.94%1.73fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -5.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.93%58.35%58.03%62.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.591.6668.03%63.44%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
LDU Quito (Visit)
Prediction 16.82%5.95fair odd
EV +17.74%
Edge +2.53%
Kelly +2.96%
Growth +0.524%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.83%16.51%16.73%18.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.815.607.0020.83%17.20%17.86%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.24%3.96fair odd
EV +3.50%
Edge +0.853%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.73%25.14%25.24%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.703.704.1032.26%26.99%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirassol (Local): 57.94%; LDU Quito (Visit): 16.82%; Draw: 25.24%. For LDU Quito (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.95. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -9.62%E -6.17%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +17.74%E +2.53%K +2.96%G +0.524% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +3.50%E +0.853%K +1.13%G +0.039% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -9.62%E -6.17%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +17.74%E +2.53%K +2.96%G +0.524% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +3.50%E +0.853%K +1.13%G +0.039% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.61%EV -10.78%E -7.00%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.92%EV -11.94%E -7.85%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -11.94%E -7.85%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.12%E +0.820%K +0.976%G +0.050% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.12%E +0.820%K +0.976%G +0.050% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.11%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.917%E +0.153%K +0.183%G +0.002% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 21:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.21%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.02%EV +0.076%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.81%E -0.731%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.37%EV -4.98%E -3.04%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.31%EV -1.27%E -0.216%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.32%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.29%E -0.572%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -4.97%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.89%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.71%EV -5.14%E -0.911%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.41%EV -2.56%E -0.663%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.50%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.81%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 21:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.81%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-07 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-07 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-07 21:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.61%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.31%EV -7.66%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -4.33%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -9.17%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.17%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.70%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -11.70%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.92%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -12.54%E -2.41%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.25%EV -10.20%E -6.58%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -14.22%E -2.79%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-07 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -14.17%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-07 21:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -21.75%E -7.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.79%EV -10.78%E -7.00%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -19.27%E -4.01%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-07 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.60% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 21:55 |