مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mirassol v LDU Quito

البداية: 2026-05-07 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Mirassol 2–0 LDU Quito

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mirassol (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.94%1.73السعر العادل
EV -3.82%
الأفضلية -2.30%
Kelly -5.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.93%58.35%58.03%62.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.581.591.6668.03%63.44%62.89%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

LDU Quito (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.82%5.95السعر العادل
EV +17.74%
الأفضلية +2.53%
Kelly +2.96%
النمو +0.524%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.83%16.51%16.73%18.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.815.607.0020.83%17.20%17.86%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.24%3.96السعر العادل
EV +3.50%
الأفضلية +0.853%
Kelly +1.13%
النمو +0.039%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.73%25.14%25.24%27.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.703.704.1032.26%26.99%27.03%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -9.62%E -6.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +17.74%E +2.53%K +2.96%G +0.524%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +3.50%E +0.853%K +1.13%G +0.039%2.8%2026-05-07 21:54
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -9.62%E -6.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +17.74%E +2.53%K +2.96%G +0.524%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +3.50%E +0.853%K +1.13%G +0.039%2.8%2026-05-07 21:55
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.61%EV -10.78%E -7.00%K -19.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 21:25
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.92%EV -11.94%E -7.85%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:55
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 21:54
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -11.94%E -7.85%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:59
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:54
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:55
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.12%E +0.820%K +0.976%G +0.050%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.12%E +0.820%K +0.976%G +0.050%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:25
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.11%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.917%E +0.153%K +0.183%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 21:49
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.21%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.02%EV +0.076%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.81%E -0.731%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:54
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.37%EV -4.98%E -3.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.31%EV -1.27%E -0.216%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.32%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 21:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.29%E -0.572%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:54
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -4.97%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 21:45
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 58.89%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.71%EV -5.14%E -0.911%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.41%EV -2.56%E -0.663%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 21:45
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.50%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.81%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 21:49
Suprabets1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.81%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 21:54
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 21:49
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:54
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:49
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.61%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.31%EV -7.66%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -4.33%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 21:54
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -9.17%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:50
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.17%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:54
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.70%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 21:50
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -11.70%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 21:50
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.92%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -12.54%E -2.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.25%EV -10.20%E -6.58%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -14.22%E -2.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-07 21:49
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 21:49
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -14.17%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-07 21:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:45
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:45
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -21.75%E -7.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-07 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.79%EV -10.78%E -7.00%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -19.27%E -4.01%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-07 21:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-07 21:55