StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mirassol v LDU Quito

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-07 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Mirassol 2–0 LDU Quito

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mirassol (Heim)

Prognose 57.94%1.73faire Quote
EV -3.82%
Vorteil -2.30%
Kelly -5.79%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.93%58.35%58.03%62.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.471.581.591.6668.03%63.44%62.89%60.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

LDU Quito (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.82%5.95faire Quote
EV +17.74%
Vorteil +2.53%
Kelly +2.96%
Wachstum +0.524%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.83%16.51%16.73%18.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.805.815.607.0020.83%17.20%17.86%14.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.24%3.96faire Quote
EV +3.50%
Vorteil +0.853%
Kelly +1.13%
Wachstum +0.039%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.73%25.14%25.24%27.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.703.704.1032.26%26.99%27.03%24.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Mirassol (Heim): 57.94%; LDU Quito (Auswärts): 16.82%; Unentschieden: 25.24%. Für LDU Quito (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.95. 18 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +17.74%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -9.62%E -6.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +17.74%E +2.53%K +2.96%G +0.524%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +3.50%E +0.853%K +1.13%G +0.039%2.8%2026-05-07 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -9.62%E -6.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +17.74%E +2.53%K +2.96%G +0.524%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +3.50%E +0.853%K +1.13%G +0.039%2.8%2026-05-07 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.61%EV -10.78%E -7.00%K -19.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 21:25
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.92%EV -11.94%E -7.85%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:55
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -12.52%E -8.29%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV +13.53%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.318%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -11.94%E -7.85%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -14.83%E -10.09%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +9.33%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.158%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.12%E +0.820%K +0.976%G +0.050%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.12%E +0.820%K +0.976%G +0.050%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:25
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.11%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.917%E +0.153%K +0.183%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 21:49
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.21%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.02%EV +0.076%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.81%E -0.731%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:54
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.37%EV -4.98%E -3.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.31%EV -1.27%E -0.216%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.32%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 21:50
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.29%E -0.572%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -4.97%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 21:45
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.89%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.71%EV -5.14%E -0.911%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.41%EV -2.56%E -0.663%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 21:45
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.50%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.81%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 21:49
Suprabets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.81%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 21:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 21:49
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:49
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.61%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.31%EV -7.66%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -4.33%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 21:54
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -9.17%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.17%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:54
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.70%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -11.70%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.92%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -12.54%E -2.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.25%EV -10.20%E -6.58%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -14.22%E -2.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-07 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 21:49
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -14.17%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-07 21:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -9.04%E -5.76%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -21.75%E -7.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-07 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.79%EV -10.78%E -7.00%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -19.27%E -4.01%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-07 21:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-07 21:55