Language:English
Libertad Asuncion v UCV FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Libertad Asuncion (Local)
Prediction 61.82%1.62fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%61.95%61.86%65.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5671.43%67.30%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UCV FC (Visit)
Prediction 16.27%6.15fair odd
EV +13.89%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.32%
Growth +0.322%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.78%16.20%16.24%17.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.895.817.0020.00%16.97%17.21%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.91%4.56fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.459%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.24%21.84%21.90%23.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.264.304.6425.00%23.46%23.26%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Libertad Asuncion (Local): 61.82%; UCV FC (Visit): 16.27%; Draw: 21.91%. For UCV FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.15. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.07%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +13.89%E +1.98%K +2.32%G +0.322% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +0.793%E +0.172%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.07%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +13.89%E +1.98%K +2.32%G +0.322% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +0.793%E +0.172%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.40%E -0.311%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -10.36%E -7.15%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -11.60%E -8.11%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.33%EV -9.75%E -6.67%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -0.915%E -0.150%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.24%EV +1.67%E +0.360%K +0.459%G +0.008% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 21:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.73%EV -1.57%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -0.302%E -0.066%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -0.302%E -0.066%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.28%EV -5.47%E -0.942%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.90%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -5.63%E -0.971%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.12%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV -8.89%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -12.14%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.16%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.60%E -8.11%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -12.14%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -4.80%E -3.12%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -17.02%E -3.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |