La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Libertad Asuncion v UCV FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Libertad Asuncion (Local)
Predicción 61.82%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -6.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.70%61.95%61.86%65.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5671.43%67.30%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
UCV FC (Visitante)
Predicción 16.27%6.15momio equitativo
EV +13.89%
Ventaja +1.98%
Kelly +2.32%
Crecimiento +0.322%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.78%16.20%16.24%17.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.895.817.0020.00%16.97%17.21%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.91%4.56momio equitativo
EV +1.67%
Ventaja +0.360%
Kelly +0.459%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.24%21.84%21.90%23.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.264.304.6425.00%23.46%23.26%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.07%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +13.89%E +1.98%K +2.32%G +0.322% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +0.793%E +0.172%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.07%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +13.89%E +1.98%K +2.32%G +0.322% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +0.793%E +0.172%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.40%E -0.311%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -10.36%E -7.15%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -11.60%E -8.11%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| GTbets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.33%EV -9.75%E -6.67%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -0.915%E -0.150%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.24%EV +1.67%E +0.360%K +0.459%G +0.008% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 21:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.73%EV -1.57%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -0.302%E -0.066%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -0.302%E -0.066%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.28%EV -5.47%E -0.942%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.90%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -5.63%E -0.971%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.12%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV -8.89%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -12.14%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.16%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.60%E -8.11%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -12.14%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -4.80%E -3.12%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -17.02%E -3.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |