L’École des cotes

Libertad Asuncion v UCV FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Score final : Libertad Asuncion 0–1 UCV FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Libertad Asuncion (Local)

Prévision 61.82%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -6.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.70%61.95%61.86%65.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5671.43%67.30%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UCV FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.27%6.15cote équitable
EV +13.89%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +2.32%
Croissance +0.322%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.78%16.20%16.24%17.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.895.817.0020.00%16.97%17.21%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.91%4.56cote équitable
EV +1.67%
Avantage +0.360%
Kelly +0.459%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.24%21.84%21.90%23.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.264.304.6425.00%23.46%23.26%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.07%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +13.89%E +1.98%K +2.32%G +0.322%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +0.793%E +0.172%K +0.220%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-27 21:10
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.07%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +13.89%E +1.98%K +2.32%G +0.322%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +0.793%E +0.172%K +0.220%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-27 21:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.40%E -0.311%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 21:19
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -10.36%E -7.15%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 21:19
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:19
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:10
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -11.60%E -8.11%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 21:10
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 21:10
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 21:19
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 21:19
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 64.33%EV -9.75%E -6.67%K -21.19%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -0.915%E -0.150%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.24%EV +1.67%E +0.360%K +0.459%G +0.008%6.5%2026-05-27 21:09
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.73%EV -1.57%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:29
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 21:29
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 21:29
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 21:29
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -0.302%E -0.066%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -0.302%E -0.066%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:19
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 21:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 21:50
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.28%EV -5.47%E -0.942%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.90%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 21:50
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -5.63%E -0.971%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:19
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.12%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 21:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 21:49
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV -8.89%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 21:49
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 21:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 21:29
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -12.14%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.16%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:39
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.60%E -8.11%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -12.14%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-27 21:39
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -4.80%E -3.12%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 21:40
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-27 21:39
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -17.02%E -3.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 21:40
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 21:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 21:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-05-27 21:40