A Escola das Odds

Libertad Asuncion v UCV FC

Início: 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Final: Libertad Asuncion 0–1 UCV FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Libertad Asuncion (Local)

Previsão 61.82%1.62odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -2.28%
Kelly -6.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.70%61.95%61.86%65.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.491.501.5671.43%67.30%66.67%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

UCV FC (Visitante)

Previsão 16.27%6.15odd justa
EV +13.89%
Vantagem +1.98%
Kelly +2.32%
Crescimento +0.322%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.78%16.20%16.24%17.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.895.817.0020.00%16.97%17.21%14.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.91%4.56odd justa
EV +1.67%
Vantagem +0.360%
Kelly +0.459%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.24%21.84%21.90%23.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.264.304.6425.00%23.46%23.26%21.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.07%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +13.89%E +1.98%K +2.32%G +0.322%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +0.793%E +0.172%K +0.220%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-27 21:10
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.07%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +13.89%E +1.98%K +2.32%G +0.322%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +0.793%E +0.172%K +0.220%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-27 21:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.40%E -0.311%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 21:19
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -10.36%E -7.15%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 21:19
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:19
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:10
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -11.60%E -8.11%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +9.82%E +1.46%K +1.71%G +0.168%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 21:10
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 21:10
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 21:19
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.76%E +0.885%K +1.05%G +0.060%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 21:19
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 64.33%EV -9.75%E -6.67%K -21.19%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -0.915%E -0.150%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.24%EV +1.67%E +0.360%K +0.459%G +0.008%6.5%2026-05-27 21:09
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.73%EV -1.57%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:29
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 21:29
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 21:29
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.38%E -0.397%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 21:29
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -0.302%E -0.066%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -0.302%E -0.066%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:19
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 21:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.01%E -0.679%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 21:50
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.28%EV -5.47%E -0.942%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.90%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 21:50
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -5.63%E -0.971%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:19
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.12%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 21:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.45%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 21:49
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV -8.89%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.59%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 21:49
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 21:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.98%E -7.63%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.51%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 21:29
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -12.14%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.16%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:39
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.60%E -8.11%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -12.14%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-27 21:39
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -4.80%E -3.12%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 21:40
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -7.89%E -5.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-27 21:39
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -17.02%E -3.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 21:40
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 21:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.65%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 21:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-05-27 21:40