Language:English
Lanus v LDU Quito
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lanus (Local)
Prediction 56.69%1.76fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%56.54%56.80%58.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.53%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
LDU Quito (Visit)
Prediction 17.45%5.73fair odd
EV +6.45%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 6.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.69%17.54%17.37%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.365.406.1023.81%18.66%18.52%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV -0.437%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.153%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%25.92%25.83%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.09%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 56.69%; LDU Quito (Visit): 17.45%; Draw: 25.86%. For LDU Quito (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.73. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.03%EV +6.45%E +1.06%K +1.26%G +0.081% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -0.437%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-21 08:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.03%EV +6.45%E +1.06%K +1.26%G +0.081% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -0.437%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +1.21%E +0.209%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.45%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.95%EV -2.98%E -0.536%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.60%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV -3.15%E -0.568%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.51%E -0.665%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 22:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 19:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.23%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.59%EV -6.29%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -3.02%E -0.806%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 00:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -7.51%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 17:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -11.00%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.63%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.15%EV -22.35%E -5.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.22%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.03%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -23.22%E -5.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -10.78%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.23%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.14%EV -26.71%E -6.36%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.63%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25% | 13.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |