La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lanus v LDU Quito
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 56.69%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -5.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.23%56.54%56.80%58.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.53%61.35%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
LDU Quito (Visitante)
Predicción 17.45%5.73momio equitativo
EV +6.45%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.081%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.69%17.54%17.37%20.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.365.406.1023.81%18.66%18.52%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.86%3.87momio equitativo
EV -0.437%
Ventaja -0.113%
Kelly -0.153%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.18%25.92%25.83%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.09%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.03%EV +6.45%E +1.06%K +1.26%G +0.081% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -0.437%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-21 08:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.03%EV +6.45%E +1.06%K +1.26%G +0.081% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -0.437%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 08:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +1.21%E +0.209%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.45%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.95%EV -2.98%E -0.536%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.60%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 12:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV -3.15%E -0.568%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.51%E -0.665%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 22:03 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 19:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.23%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.59%EV -6.29%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -3.02%E -0.806%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 00:49 |
| Suprabets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -7.51%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 17:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 23:39 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -11.00%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.63%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.15%EV -22.35%E -5.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.22%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.03%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -23.22%E -5.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -10.78%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.23%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.14%EV -26.71%E -6.36%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.63%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25% | 13.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |