مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lanus v LDU Quito

البداية: 2026-04-28 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Lanus 1–0 LDU Quito

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (10 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lanus (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.69%1.76السعر العادل
EV -3.63%
الأفضلية -2.13%
Kelly -5.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.23%56.54%56.80%58.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.53%61.35%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

LDU Quito (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.45%5.73السعر العادل
EV +6.45%
الأفضلية +1.06%
Kelly +1.26%
النمو +0.081%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.69%17.54%17.37%20.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.205.365.406.1023.81%18.66%18.52%16.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.86%3.87السعر العادل
EV -0.437%
الأفضلية -0.113%
Kelly -0.153%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.18%25.92%25.83%27.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.09%28.17%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.03%EV +6.45%E +1.06%K +1.26%G +0.081%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -0.437%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 08:14
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.03%EV +6.45%E +1.06%K +1.26%G +0.081%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -0.437%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 08:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 08:35
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:15
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:15
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:15
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +1.21%E +0.209%K +0.252%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 08:15
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 08:15
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 08:15
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 08:15
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:44
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:49
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 57.45%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.95%EV -2.98%E -0.536%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.60%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 12:05
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV -3.15%E -0.568%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.51%E -0.665%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 00:44
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 17:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 22:03
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 17:10
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 19:54
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 11:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:40
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.23%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.59%EV -6.29%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -3.02%E -0.806%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 00:49
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -7.51%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:52
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:14
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 22:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 23:39
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 23:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -11.00%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-21 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 19:45
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 19:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 19:44
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.63%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.15%EV -22.35%E -5.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.22%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-22 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.03%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -23.22%E -5.28%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -10.78%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 10:55
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.23%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.14%EV -26.71%E -6.36%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.63%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-22 10:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (1)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%13.7%2026-04-22 10:55