A Escola das Odds

Lanus v LDU Quito

Início: 2026-04-28 22:00 UTC

Final: Lanus 1–0 LDU Quito

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lanus (Local)

Previsão 56.69%1.76odd justa
EV -3.63%
Vantagem -2.13%
Kelly -5.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.23%56.54%56.80%58.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.53%61.35%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

LDU Quito (Visitante)

Previsão 17.45%5.73odd justa
EV +6.45%
Vantagem +1.06%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescimento +0.081%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.69%17.54%17.37%20.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.205.365.406.1023.81%18.66%18.52%16.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.86%3.87odd justa
EV -0.437%
Vantagem -0.113%
Kelly -0.153%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.18%25.92%25.83%27.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.09%28.17%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.03%EV +6.45%E +1.06%K +1.26%G +0.081%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -0.437%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 08:14
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.03%EV +6.45%E +1.06%K +1.26%G +0.081%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -0.437%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 08:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 08:35
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:15
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:15
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:15
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +4.70%E +0.783%K +0.940%G +0.044%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +1.21%E +0.209%K +0.252%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 08:15
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 08:15
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 08:15
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.61%EV -12.13%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.338%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 08:15
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:44
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.52%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -2.28%E -0.407%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:49
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 57.45%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.95%EV -2.98%E -0.536%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.60%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 12:05
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV -3.15%E -0.568%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.51%E -0.665%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 00:44
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 17:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 22:03
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.02%E -0.732%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 17:10
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 19:54
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 11:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:40
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.23%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.59%EV -6.29%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -3.02%E -0.806%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 00:49
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -7.51%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:52
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:14
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 22:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 23:39
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 23:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -11.00%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-21 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 19:45
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 19:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 19:44
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.63%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.15%EV -22.35%E -5.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.22%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-22 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.03%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -23.22%E -5.28%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -10.78%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 10:55
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.23%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.14%EV -26.71%E -6.36%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.63%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-22 10:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%13.7%2026-04-22 10:55