StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Junior FC v Palmeiras-SP

Matchstart: 2026-04-09 00:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Junior FC (Hemma)

Prognos 20.45%4.89rättvist odds
EV +27.80%
Fördel +4.45%
Kelly +5.30%
Tillväxt +1.47%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.58%20.22%20.43%21.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.894.506.2525.00%20.45%22.22%16.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Palmeiras-SP (Borta)

Prognos 52.46%1.91rättvist odds
EV -4.00%
Fördel -2.19%
Kelly -4.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.99%52.60%52.53%57.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.731.751.8363.69%57.80%57.31%54.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.09%3.69rättvist odds
EV -1.11%
Fördel -0.304%
Kelly -0.419%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.44%27.18%27.04%28.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.403.403.6533.33%29.43%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Junior FC (Hemma): 20.45%; Palmeiras-SP (Borta): 52.46%; Oavgjort: 27.09%. För Junior FC (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.89. 12 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +27.80%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +27.80%E +4.45%K +5.30%G +1.47%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.55%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%EV -1.11%E -0.304%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +27.80%E +4.45%K +5.30%G +1.47%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.55%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%EV -1.11%E -0.304%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 00:20
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -13.97%E -8.52%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:20
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:19
Casumo🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -15.02%E -9.27%K -24.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.57%EV -17.12%E -10.83%K -29.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.57%EV -17.12%E -10.83%K -29.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.72%EV -17.64%E -11.24%K -30.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-09 00:20
1xBet🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.02%EV +0.608%E +0.124%K +0.155%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.72%E -5.01%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.20%EV -6.80%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 00:25
Pinnacle🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.87%EV -1.23%E -0.255%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.02%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 00:25
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.85%E -0.385%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.01%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.68%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:19
BetOnline.ag🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.68%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:19
BetUS🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 00:24
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.91%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.68%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.34%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 00:23
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:24
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 00:20
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:05
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:14
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:14
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 00:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -18.72%E -6.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-09 00:19
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.00%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 00:20
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.00%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 00:19
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.82%EV -11.35%E -6.71%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.89%EV -10.05%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-09 00:08
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:00
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:00
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.36%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:24
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 20.98%EV -15.14%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.82%EV -11.87%E -7.07%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-09 00:24
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -18.20%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-09 00:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-09 00:25
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.5%2026-04-09 00:20