Die Schule der Quoten

Junior FC v Palmeiras-SP

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-09 00:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

42 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Junior FC (Heim)

Prognose 20.45%4.89faire Quote
EV +27.80%
Vorteil +4.45%
Kelly +5.30%
Wachstum +1.47%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.58%20.22%20.43%21.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.004.894.506.2525.00%20.45%22.22%16.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Palmeiras-SP (Auswärts)

Prognose 52.46%1.91faire Quote
EV -4.00%
Vorteil -2.19%
Kelly -4.82%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.99%52.60%52.53%57.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.571.731.751.8363.69%57.80%57.31%54.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.09%3.69faire Quote
EV -1.11%
Vorteil -0.304%
Kelly -0.419%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.44%27.18%27.04%28.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.403.403.6533.33%29.43%29.41%27.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (42 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +27.80%E +4.45%K +5.30%G +1.47%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.55%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%EV -1.11%E -0.304%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +27.80%E +4.45%K +5.30%G +1.47%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.55%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%EV -1.11%E -0.304%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 00:20
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -13.97%E -8.52%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:20
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:20
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:19
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -15.02%E -9.27%K -24.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 00:20
Virgin Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.57%EV -17.12%E -10.83%K -29.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:20
LiveScore Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.57%EV -17.12%E -10.83%K -29.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:20
PMU (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.72%EV -17.64%E -11.24%K -30.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-09 00:20
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.02%EV +0.608%E +0.124%K +0.155%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.72%E -5.01%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.20%EV -6.80%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 00:25
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 19.87%EV -1.23%E -0.255%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.02%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 00:25
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.85%E -0.385%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.01%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:25
LowVig.ag4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.68%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:19
BetOnline.ag4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.68%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:19
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 00:24
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 00:20
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.91%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.68%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.34%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 00:23
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 00:24
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:24
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 00:20
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:05
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:04
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:14
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:14
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 00:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -18.72%E -6.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-09 00:19
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.00%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 00:20
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.00%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 00:19
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.82%EV -11.35%E -6.71%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.89%EV -10.05%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-09 00:08
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:00
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:00
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:00
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.36%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:24
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 20.98%EV -15.14%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.82%EV -11.87%E -7.07%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-09 00:24
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -18.20%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-09 00:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-09 00:25
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.5%2026-04-09 00:20