L’École des cotesFrançais
Junior FC v Palmeiras-SP
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Junior FC (Local)
Prévision 20.45%4.89cote équitable
EV +27.80%
Avantage +4.45%
Kelly +5.30%
Croissance +1.47%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.58%20.22%20.43%21.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.894.506.2525.00%20.45%22.22%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palmeiras-SP (Visiteur)
Prévision 52.46%1.91cote équitable
EV -4.00%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.99%52.60%52.53%57.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.731.751.8363.69%57.80%57.31%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.09%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.304%
Kelly -0.419%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.44%27.18%27.04%28.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.6533.33%29.43%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +27.80%E +4.45%K +5.30%G +1.47% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.55%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%EV -1.11%E -0.304%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +27.80%E +4.45%K +5.30%G +1.47% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.55%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%EV -1.11%E -0.304%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -13.97%E -8.52%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Unibet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| Casumo | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -14.49%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +22.69%E +3.78%K +4.54%G +1.03% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -15.02%E -9.27%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.57%EV -17.12%E -10.83%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.57%EV -17.12%E -10.83%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV +18.60%E +3.21%K +3.88%G +0.721% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.72%EV -17.64%E -11.24%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| 1xBet | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.02%EV +0.608%E +0.124%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.72%E -5.01%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.20%EV -6.80%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 00:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.87%EV -1.23%E -0.255%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.02%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.85%E -0.385%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.01%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.68%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.68%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| BetUS | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.91%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.68%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.34%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Bovada | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 00:23 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 00:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 00:24 |
| PlayUp | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 00:05 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-08 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -18.72%E -6.24%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.00%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.00%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.82%EV -11.35%E -6.71%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.89%EV -10.05%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-09 00:08 |
| Betway | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.36%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.98%EV -15.14%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.82%EV -11.87%E -7.07%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-09 00:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -18.20%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.82%E -6.37%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-09 00:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |