Language:English
Independiente Rivadavia v Fluminense-RJ
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 40.63%2.46fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.68%40.50%41.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.282.4045.45%43.79%43.86%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fluminense-RJ (Visit)
Prediction 28.50%3.51fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +0.648%
Kelly +0.898%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.79%28.44%28.59%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.273.5933.33%30.64%30.58%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.86%3.24fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.73%30.88%30.90%32.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.40%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 40.63%; Fluminense-RJ (Visit): 28.50%; Draw: 30.86%. For Fluminense-RJ (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV +2.33%E +0.648%K +0.898%G +0.021% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -6.49%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -0.240%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.32%EV -8.17%E -3.61%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -1.10%E -0.316%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -9.26%E -3.15%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -1.67%E -0.483%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.67%E -0.483%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -2.24%E -0.652%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -6.80%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.76%E -3.42%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -2.52%E -0.737%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 00:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.92%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.02%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -11.42%E -3.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -1.24%E -0.388%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -1.24%E -0.388%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.12%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.59%E -4.85%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.51%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -3.70%E -1.56%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -6.80%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -5.32%E -2.28%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.03%EV -10.79%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -8.34%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-07 00:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-07 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.67%E -6.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |