A Escola das Odds

Independiente Rivadavia v Fluminense-RJ

Início: 2026-05-07 00:30 UTC

Final: Independiente Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense-RJ

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Previsão 40.63%2.46odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.68%40.50%41.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.282.282.4045.45%43.79%43.86%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fluminense-RJ (Visitante)

Previsão 28.50%3.51odd justa
EV +2.33%
Vantagem +0.648%
Kelly +0.898%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.79%28.44%28.59%29.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.263.273.5933.33%30.64%30.58%27.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.86%3.24odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.388%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.73%30.88%30.90%32.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.40%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV +2.33%E +0.648%K +0.898%G +0.021%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -6.49%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -0.240%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 00:25
Suprabets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.32%EV -8.17%E -3.61%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -1.10%E -0.316%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -9.26%E -3.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 00:18
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -1.67%E -0.483%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 00:25
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.67%E -0.483%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 00:15
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -2.24%E -0.652%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -6.80%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 00:20
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.76%E -3.42%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -2.52%E -0.737%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 00:25
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 00:14
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.92%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.02%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 00:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -11.42%E -3.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 00:25
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -1.24%E -0.388%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 00:20
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -1.24%E -0.388%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 00:20
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 00:15
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 00:25
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 00:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 00:20
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 00:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.12%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 00:24
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.59%E -4.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-07 00:25
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.51%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 00:25
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -3.70%E -1.56%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -6.80%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 21:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -5.32%E -2.28%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 00:20
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:20
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 23:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 00:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 00:10
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 23:20
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 00:20
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.03%EV -10.79%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -8.34%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 00:06
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-06 23:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-07 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.67%E -6.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-07 00:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%0.4%2026-05-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-05-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-05-07 00:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-07 00:25