مدرسة الاحتمالات

Independiente Rivadavia v Fluminense-RJ

البداية: 2026-05-07 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Independiente Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense-RJ

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.63%2.46السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -1.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.24%40.68%40.50%41.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.282.282.4045.45%43.79%43.86%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fluminense-RJ (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.50%3.51السعر العادل
EV +2.33%
الأفضلية +0.648%
Kelly +0.898%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.79%28.44%28.59%29.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.263.273.5933.33%30.64%30.58%27.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.86%3.24السعر العادل
EV -1.24%
الأفضلية -0.388%
Kelly -0.564%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.73%30.88%30.90%32.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.40%33.33%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV +2.33%E +0.648%K +0.898%G +0.021%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -6.49%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -0.240%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 00:25
Suprabets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.32%EV -8.17%E -3.61%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -1.10%E -0.316%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -9.26%E -3.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 00:18
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -1.67%E -0.483%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 00:25
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.67%E -0.483%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 00:15
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -2.24%E -0.652%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -6.80%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 00:20
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.76%E -3.42%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -2.52%E -0.737%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 00:25
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 00:14
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.92%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.02%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 00:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -11.42%E -3.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 00:25
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -1.24%E -0.388%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 00:20
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -1.24%E -0.388%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 00:20
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 00:15
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 00:25
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 00:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 00:20
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 00:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.12%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 00:24
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.59%E -4.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-07 00:25
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.51%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 00:25
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -3.70%E -1.56%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -6.80%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 21:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -5.32%E -2.28%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 00:20
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:20
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 23:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 00:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 00:10
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 23:20
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 00:20
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.03%EV -10.79%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -8.34%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 00:06
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 00:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-06 23:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-07 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.67%E -6.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-07 00:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%0.4%2026-05-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-05-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-05-07 00:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-07 00:25