La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Fluminense-RJ
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 40.63%2.46momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.68%40.50%41.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.282.282.4045.45%43.79%43.86%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fluminense-RJ (Visitante)
Predicción 28.50%3.51momio equitativo
EV +2.33%
Ventaja +0.648%
Kelly +0.898%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.79%28.44%28.59%29.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.273.5933.33%30.64%30.58%27.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.86%3.24momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.388%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.73%30.88%30.90%32.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.40%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV +2.33%E +0.648%K +0.898%G +0.021% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -6.49%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -0.240%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Suprabets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.32%EV -8.17%E -3.61%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -1.10%E -0.316%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -9.26%E -3.15%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:18 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -1.67%E -0.483%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.67%E -0.483%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -2.24%E -0.652%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -6.80%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.76%E -3.42%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -2.52%E -0.737%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 00:14 |
| GTbets | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.92%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.02%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.09%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -11.42%E -3.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -1.24%E -0.388%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -1.24%E -0.388%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.12%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.59%E -4.85%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.51%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -3.70%E -1.56%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -6.80%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -5.32%E -2.28%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -5.73%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.51%E -1.92%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.03%EV -10.79%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -8.34%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-07 00:06 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.54%E -2.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-07 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -10.60%E -4.82%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.67%E -6.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |