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Independiente Rivadavia v Club Bolívar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 63.10%1.58fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -7.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.64%63.17%63.07%65.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5271.43%68.75%69.20%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Club Bolívar (Visit)
Prediction 14.85%6.74fair odd
EV +11.34%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.198%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.05%14.82%14.78%16.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.446.507.5018.87%15.53%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.05%4.54fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.312%
Kelly +0.398%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%22.00%22.14%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.83%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 63.10%; Club Bolívar (Visit): 14.85%; Draw: 22.05%. For Club Bolívar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.74. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.68%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +11.34%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.198% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.27%EV +1.43%E +0.312%K +0.398%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.68%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +11.34%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.198% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.27%EV +1.43%E +0.312%K +0.398%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.42%EV +6.14%E +0.859%K +0.999%G +0.061% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.20%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -0.772%E -0.172%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 21:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.50%EV +2.43%E +0.353%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -0.536%E -0.080%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 21:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.55%EV -4.71%E -3.12%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.54%EV -2.02%E -0.306%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.91%EV -3.42%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 19:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV -2.02%E -0.306%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 21:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.69%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.54%EV -4.40%E -0.683%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.99%E -0.780%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.99%E -0.780%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -4.08%E -2.69%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 21:52 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 21:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 20:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.08%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.62%E -5.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -13.90%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.64%E -2.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -16.87%E -3.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.26%EV -11.02%E -7.82%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -16.87%E -3.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.06%EV -12.24%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.15%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -12.90%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -10.39%E -7.32%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -21.32%E -4.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 19:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |