مدرسة الاحتمالات

Independiente Rivadavia v Club Bolívar

البداية: 2026-04-07 22:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.10%1.58السعر العادل
EV -4.08%
الأفضلية -2.69%
Kelly -7.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.64%63.17%63.07%65.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.451.441.5271.43%68.75%69.20%65.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Club Bolívar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.85%6.74السعر العادل
EV +11.34%
الأفضلية +1.51%
Kelly +1.74%
النمو +0.198%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.05%14.82%14.78%16.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.306.446.507.5018.87%15.53%15.38%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.05%4.54السعر العادل
EV +1.43%
الأفضلية +0.312%
Kelly +0.398%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.88%22.00%22.14%23.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.83%23.53%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.68%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +11.34%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.198%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.27%EV +1.43%E +0.312%K +0.398%G +0.006%2.2%2026-04-07 21:29
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.68%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +11.34%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.198%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.27%EV +1.43%E +0.312%K +0.398%G +0.006%2.2%2026-04-07 21:30
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.42%EV +6.14%E +0.859%K +0.999%G +0.061%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.20%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 21:30
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 10:39
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 10:45
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 10:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -0.772%E -0.172%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 21:05
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 21:05
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 21:29
Suprabets1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.50%EV +2.43%E +0.353%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 21:05
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 21:05
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 21:05
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -0.536%E -0.080%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 21:39
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.55%EV -4.71%E -3.12%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.54%EV -2.02%E -0.306%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.91%EV -3.42%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 19:49
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV -2.02%E -0.306%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:35
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 21:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 20:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 20:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 20:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 20:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 21:39
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.69%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.54%EV -4.40%E -0.683%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 21:54
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.99%E -0.780%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 21:30
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.99%E -0.780%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 21:25
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -4.08%E -2.69%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 21:52
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 21:49
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 21:29
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 20:01
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.08%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.62%E -5.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-07 21:54
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -13.90%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 19:50
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.64%E -2.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -16.87%E -3.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 19:49
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.26%EV -11.02%E -7.82%K -26.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -16.87%E -3.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.06%EV -12.24%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-07 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 19:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 19:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.15%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -12.90%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-07 21:34
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -10.39%E -7.32%K -24.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -21.32%E -4.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-07 19:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-04-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.2%2026-04-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.2%2026-04-07 21:55
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-04-07 21:55