L’École des cotes

Independiente Rivadavia v Club Bolívar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Prévision 63.10%1.58cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -2.69%
Kelly -7.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.64%63.17%63.07%65.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.5271.43%68.75%69.20%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Club Bolívar (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.85%6.74cote équitable
EV +11.34%
Avantage +1.51%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.198%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.05%14.82%14.78%16.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.306.446.507.5018.87%15.53%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.05%4.54cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.312%
Kelly +0.398%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.88%22.00%22.14%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.83%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.68%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +11.34%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.198%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.27%EV +1.43%E +0.312%K +0.398%G +0.006%2.2%2026-04-07 21:29
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.68%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +11.34%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.198%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.27%EV +1.43%E +0.312%K +0.398%G +0.006%2.2%2026-04-07 21:30
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.42%EV +6.14%E +0.859%K +0.999%G +0.061%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.20%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 21:30
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 10:39
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 10:45
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 10:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -0.772%E -0.172%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 21:05
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 21:05
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 21:29
Suprabets1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.50%EV +2.43%E +0.353%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 21:05
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 21:05
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 21:05
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -0.536%E -0.080%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 21:39
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.55%EV -4.71%E -3.12%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.54%EV -2.02%E -0.306%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.91%EV -3.42%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 19:49
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV -2.02%E -0.306%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:35
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 21:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 20:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 20:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 20:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 20:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 21:39
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.69%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.54%EV -4.40%E -0.683%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 21:54
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.99%E -0.780%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 21:30
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.99%E -0.780%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 21:25
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -4.08%E -2.69%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 21:52
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 21:49
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 21:29
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 20:01
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.08%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.62%E -5.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-07 21:54
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -13.90%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 19:50
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.64%E -2.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -16.87%E -3.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 19:49
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.26%EV -11.02%E -7.82%K -26.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -16.87%E -3.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.06%EV -12.24%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-07 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 19:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 19:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.15%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -12.90%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-07 21:34
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -10.39%E -7.32%K -24.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -21.32%E -4.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-07 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-04-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.2%2026-04-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.2%2026-04-07 21:55
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-04-07 21:55