La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Club Bolívar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 63.10%1.58momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -2.69%
Kelly -7.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.64%63.17%63.07%65.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.441.5271.43%68.75%69.20%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Club Bolívar (Visitante)
Predicción 14.85%6.74momio equitativo
EV +11.34%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.198%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.05%14.82%14.78%16.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.446.507.5018.87%15.53%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.05%4.54momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.312%
Kelly +0.398%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.88%22.00%22.14%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.204.254.6027.78%23.83%23.53%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.68%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +11.34%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.198% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.27%EV +1.43%E +0.312%K +0.398%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.68%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +11.34%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.198% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.27%EV +1.43%E +0.312%K +0.398%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.42%EV +6.14%E +0.859%K +0.999%G +0.061% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.20%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +4.66%E +0.661%K +0.770%G +0.036% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -0.772%E -0.172%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Unibet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +3.92%E +0.560%K +0.653%G +0.026% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 21:29 |
| Suprabets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.50%EV +2.43%E +0.353%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.206%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -0.536%E -0.080%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 21:39 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.55%EV -4.71%E -3.12%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.54%EV -2.02%E -0.306%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.91%EV -3.42%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 19:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV -2.02%E -0.306%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 21:40 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -3.51%E -0.539%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 21:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.69%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.54%EV -4.40%E -0.683%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.99%E -0.780%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.99%E -0.780%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 21:25 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -4.08%E -2.69%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 21:52 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 21:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.22%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 21:29 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 20:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -6.61%E -4.46%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.08%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -10.93%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.62%E -5.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -13.90%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 19:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.64%E -2.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -16.87%E -3.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.26%EV -11.02%E -7.82%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -16.87%E -3.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.06%EV -12.24%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.15%EV -11.65%E -8.32%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -18.35%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -12.90%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -10.39%E -7.32%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -21.32%E -4.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |