Language:English
Independiente Medellín v Estudiantes La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Medellín (Local)
Prediction 36.33%2.75fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.19%36.42%36.31%38.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.552.552.6742.92%39.27%39.22%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 30.97%3.23fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.577%
Kelly +0.830%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.26%30.87%30.93%32.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.953.2937.04%33.77%33.90%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.69%3.06fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.436%
Kelly +0.643%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.93%32.71%32.76%34.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.862.873.1038.02%35.00%34.84%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Medellín (Local): 36.33%; Estudiantes La Plata (Visit): 30.97%; Draw: 32.69%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.08%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV +1.90%E +0.577%K +0.830%G +0.016% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV -9.11%E -3.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.81%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.58%EV -2.13%E -0.673%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 23:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.07%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.07%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.06%E -0.976%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -6.17%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.06%E -0.976%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -6.17%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 23:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -9.77%E -3.54%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +1.35%E +0.436%K +0.643%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +1.35%E +0.436%K +0.643%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.40%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -15.34%E -6.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 23:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -0.285%E -0.093%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.11%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.16%EV -9.25%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.73%EV -2.90%E -0.976%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.84%EV -3.88%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.11%E -3.87%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-08 23:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -14.83%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.37%E -6.06%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -14.02%E -5.33%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |