La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente Medellín v Estudiantes La Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Medellín (Local)
Predicción 36.33%2.75momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.19%36.42%36.31%38.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.552.552.6742.92%39.27%39.22%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Estudiantes La Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 30.97%3.23momio equitativo
EV +1.90%
Ventaja +0.577%
Kelly +0.830%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.26%30.87%30.93%32.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.962.953.2937.04%33.77%33.90%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.69%3.06momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.436%
Kelly +0.643%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.93%32.71%32.76%34.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.862.873.1038.02%35.00%34.84%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.08%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV +1.90%E +0.577%K +0.830%G +0.016% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV -9.11%E -3.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Suprabets | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.81%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.58%EV -2.13%E -0.673%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 23:56 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.07%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.07%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.06%E -0.976%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -6.17%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.06%E -0.976%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -6.17%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 23:58 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -9.77%E -3.54%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +1.35%E +0.436%K +0.643%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +1.35%E +0.436%K +0.643%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.40%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -15.34%E -6.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 23:56 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -0.285%E -0.093%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 23:45 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| GTbets | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.11%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.16%EV -9.25%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.73%EV -2.90%E -0.976%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.84%EV -3.88%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.11%E -3.87%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-08 23:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -14.83%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.37%E -6.06%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -14.02%E -5.33%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |