A Escola das Odds

Independiente Medellín v Estudiantes La Plata

Início: 2026-04-09 00:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Independiente Medellín (Local)

Previsão 36.33%2.75odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.19%36.42%36.31%38.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.332.552.552.6742.92%39.27%39.22%37.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Estudiantes La Plata (Visitante)

Previsão 30.97%3.23odd justa
EV +1.90%
Vantagem +0.577%
Kelly +0.830%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.26%30.87%30.93%32.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.962.953.2937.04%33.77%33.90%30.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.69%3.06odd justa
EV +1.35%
Vantagem +0.436%
Kelly +0.643%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.93%32.71%32.76%34.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.862.873.1038.02%35.00%34.84%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.08%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV +1.90%E +0.577%K +0.830%G +0.016%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV -9.11%E -3.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 23:59
Suprabets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.81%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.58%EV -2.13%E -0.673%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 23:56
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 23:59
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 00:00
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 00:00
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.06%E -0.976%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -6.17%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.06%E -0.976%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -6.17%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:59
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 23:58
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 00:00
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -9.77%E -3.54%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 23:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +1.35%E +0.436%K +0.643%G +0.009%2.8%2026-04-09 00:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +1.35%E +0.436%K +0.643%G +0.009%2.8%2026-04-09 00:00
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.40%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 23:45
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -15.34%E -6.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 23:56
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 00:00
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 00:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 23:59
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -0.285%E -0.093%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:45
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 00:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 23:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 00:00
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.11%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.16%EV -9.25%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.73%EV -2.90%E -0.976%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 23:59
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.84%EV -3.88%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 00:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 23:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 23:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 23:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 23:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.11%E -3.87%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-09 00:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 00:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-08 23:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 23:59
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 23:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -14.83%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-08 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.37%E -6.06%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -14.02%E -5.33%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-08 23:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%0.9%2026-04-09 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%0.9%2026-04-09 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%0.9%2026-04-09 00:00
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22%2.4%2026-04-09 00:00