L’École des cotes

Independiente Medellín v Estudiantes La Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 00:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Independiente Medellín (Local)

Prévision 36.33%2.75cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.19%36.42%36.31%38.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.552.552.6742.92%39.27%39.22%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Estudiantes La Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.97%3.23cote équitable
EV +1.90%
Avantage +0.577%
Kelly +0.830%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.26%30.87%30.93%32.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.962.953.2937.04%33.77%33.90%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.69%3.06cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.436%
Kelly +0.643%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.93%32.71%32.76%34.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.862.873.1038.02%35.00%34.84%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.08%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV +1.90%E +0.577%K +0.830%G +0.016%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV -9.11%E -3.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 23:59
Suprabets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.81%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.58%EV -2.13%E -0.673%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 23:56
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 23:59
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 00:00
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -2.44%E -0.773%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 00:00
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.06%E -0.976%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -6.17%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.06%E -0.976%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -6.17%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:59
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 23:58
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 00:00
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -9.77%E -3.54%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 23:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +1.35%E +0.436%K +0.643%G +0.009%2.8%2026-04-09 00:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +1.35%E +0.436%K +0.643%G +0.009%2.8%2026-04-09 00:00
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.40%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 23:45
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -15.34%E -6.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 23:56
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 00:00
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 00:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.73%E -4.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 23:59
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -0.285%E -0.093%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:45
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 00:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 23:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 00:00
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.11%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.16%EV -9.25%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.73%EV -2.90%E -0.976%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 23:59
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.84%EV -3.88%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 00:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.92%E -0.640%K -0.960%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 23:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 23:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 23:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 23:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.18%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.11%E -3.87%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-09 00:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 00:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -11.73%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.19%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-08 23:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 23:59
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 23:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -8.46%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -14.83%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -10.09%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-08 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.37%E -6.06%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -14.02%E -5.33%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-08 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%0.9%2026-04-09 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%0.9%2026-04-09 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%0.9%2026-04-09 00:00
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22%2.4%2026-04-09 00:00