Language:English
Independiente del Valle v UCV FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente del Valle (Local)
Prediction 72.38%1.38fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.93%72.42%72.19%74.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.281.3681.30%77.61%78.13%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UCV FC (Visit)
Prediction 10.08%9.92fair odd
EV +12.07%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.144%
assuming max odds 11.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.50%10.02%10.09%12.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.309.5011.1213.33%10.75%10.53%8.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.54%5.70fair odd
EV -0.349%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.075%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.71%17.56%17.72%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.175.135.6821.74%19.33%19.49%17.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente del Valle (Local): 72.38%; UCV FC (Visit): 10.08%; Draw: 17.54%. For UCV FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.92. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 11.12I 8.99%NM 8.54%EV +12.07%E +1.09%K +1.19%G +0.144% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.71%EV -0.349%E -0.061%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.80%E -6.99%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +10.86%E +0.987%K +1.09%G +0.118% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 01:57 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.89%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.31%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.80%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 01:47 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.90%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -1.75%E -0.313%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.27I 10.79%NM 10.06%EV -6.58%E -0.709%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.18%EV -10.00%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.27%EV -6.78%E -0.733%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.27%EV -6.78%E -0.733%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.60%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -0.875%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.60%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -0.875%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.30%E -4.19%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.69%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.67%EV -13.33%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -14.34%E -1.69%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -19.37%E -2.42%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -19.37%E -2.42%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 70.55%EV -10.98%E -8.92%K -47.72%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 10.98%EV -20.38%E -2.58%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -17.54%E -3.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.60% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.55% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.49% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.41% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |