L’École des cotes

Independiente del Valle v UCV FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 02:02 UTC

Score final : Independiente del Valle 3–1 UCV FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Independiente del Valle (Local)

Prévision 72.38%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -4.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.93%72.42%72.19%74.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.291.281.3681.30%77.61%78.13%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UCV FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.08%9.92cote équitable
EV +12.07%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.144%

avec la cote maximale 11.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.50%10.02%10.09%12.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.509.309.5011.1213.33%10.75%10.53%8.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.54%5.70cote équitable
EV -0.349%
Avantage -0.061%
Kelly -0.075%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.71%17.56%17.72%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.175.135.6821.74%19.33%19.49%17.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%11.12I 8.99%NM 8.54%EV +12.07%E +1.09%K +1.19%G +0.144%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.71%EV -0.349%E -0.061%K -0.075%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:59
Suprabets1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.80%E -6.99%K -33.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +10.86%E +0.987%K +1.09%G +0.118%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 01:57
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.89%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.31%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.80%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 02:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 02:00
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 02:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 02:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:59
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:47
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 02:00
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 01:59
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 02:00
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.90%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -1.75%E -0.313%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 01:59
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 01:59
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 01:59
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 01:59
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 01:59
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 01:59
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 02:00
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 02:00
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 02:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 02:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 02:00
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 01:59
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 02:00
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.27I 10.79%NM 10.06%EV -6.58%E -0.709%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.18%EV -10.00%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 01:59
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.27%EV -6.78%E -0.733%K -0.821%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 01:58
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.27%EV -6.78%E -0.733%K -0.821%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 01:59
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.60%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -0.875%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.60%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -0.875%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 02:00
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 02:00
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.30%E -4.19%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 01:59
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.69%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.67%EV -13.33%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 01:59
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -14.34%E -1.69%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -19.37%E -2.42%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 01:58
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -19.37%E -2.42%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.55%EV -10.98%E -8.92%K -47.72%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 10.98%EV -20.38%E -2.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -17.54%E -3.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-16 01:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-16 01:59
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-16 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-16 02:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-16 01:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-04-16 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-04-16 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.60%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.7%2026-04-16 02:00
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.49%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%3.5%2026-04-16 02:00