La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente del Valle v UCV FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente del Valle (Local)
Predicción 72.38%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -4.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.93%72.42%72.19%74.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.231.291.281.3681.30%77.61%78.13%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
UCV FC (Visitante)
Predicción 10.08%9.92momio equitativo
EV +12.07%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.144%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.50%10.02%10.09%12.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.509.309.5011.1213.33%10.75%10.53%8.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.54%5.70momio equitativo
EV -0.349%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.075%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.71%17.56%17.72%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.175.135.6821.74%19.33%19.49%17.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 11.12I 8.99%NM 8.54%EV +12.07%E +1.09%K +1.19%G +0.144% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.71%EV -0.349%E -0.061%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.80%E -6.99%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +10.86%E +0.987%K +1.09%G +0.118% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 01:57 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.89%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.31%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.80%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 01:47 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.90%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -1.75%E -0.313%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.27I 10.79%NM 10.06%EV -6.58%E -0.709%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.18%EV -10.00%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.27%EV -6.78%E -0.733%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.27%EV -6.78%E -0.733%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.60%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -0.875%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.60%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -0.875%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.30%E -4.19%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.69%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.67%EV -13.33%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -14.34%E -1.69%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -19.37%E -2.42%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -19.37%E -2.42%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 70.55%EV -10.98%E -8.92%K -47.72%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 10.98%EV -20.38%E -2.58%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -17.54%E -3.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.60% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.55% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.49% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.41% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |