A Escola das Odds

Independiente del Valle v UCV FC

Início: 2026-04-16 02:02 UTC

Final: Independiente del Valle 3–1 UCV FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Independiente del Valle (Local)

Previsão 72.38%1.38odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -4.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.93%72.42%72.19%74.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.231.291.281.3681.30%77.61%78.13%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

UCV FC (Visitante)

Previsão 10.08%9.92odd justa
EV +12.07%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.144%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.50%10.02%10.09%12.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.509.309.5011.1213.33%10.75%10.53%8.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.54%5.70odd justa
EV -0.349%
Vantagem -0.061%
Kelly -0.075%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.71%17.56%17.72%19.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.605.175.135.6821.74%19.33%19.49%17.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%11.12I 8.99%NM 8.54%EV +12.07%E +1.09%K +1.19%G +0.144%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.71%EV -0.349%E -0.061%K -0.075%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:59
Suprabets1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.80%E -6.99%K -33.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +10.86%E +0.987%K +1.09%G +0.118%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 01:57
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.89%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.31%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.80%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 02:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 02:00
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +5.82%E +0.554%K +0.613%G +0.036%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 02:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 02:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -1.57%E -1.15%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:59
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:47
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 02:00
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 01:59
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.781%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 02:00
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.90%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -1.75%E -0.313%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 01:59
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 01:59
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 01:59
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.52%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 01:59
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 01:59
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 01:59
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 02:00
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 02:00
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 02:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 02:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 02:00
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 01:59
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.26%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 02:00
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.27I 10.79%NM 10.06%EV -6.58%E -0.709%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.18%EV -10.00%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 01:59
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.27%EV -6.78%E -0.733%K -0.821%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 01:58
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.27%EV -6.78%E -0.733%K -0.821%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 01:59
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.60%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -0.875%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.60%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -0.875%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 02:00
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 02:00
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -9.30%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.30%E -4.19%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 01:59
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.69%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.67%EV -13.33%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -8.77%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 01:59
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -14.34%E -1.69%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -19.37%E -2.42%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.51%E -0.638%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 01:58
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -8.08%E -6.36%K -29.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -19.37%E -2.42%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.55%EV -10.98%E -8.92%K -47.72%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 10.98%EV -20.38%E -2.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -17.54%E -3.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-16 01:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-16 01:59
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-16 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-16 02:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -24.41%E -3.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-16 01:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-04-16 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-04-16 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.60%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.7%2026-04-16 02:00
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.49%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%3.5%2026-04-16 02:00