Language:English
Independiente del Valle v Flamengo-RJ
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente del Valle (Local)
Prediction 36.06%2.77fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -0.897%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.91%36.10%36.02%37.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.592.7341.67%38.93%38.54%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flamengo-RJ (Visit)
Prediction 33.43%2.99fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +0.640%
Kelly +0.952%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.48%33.32%33.41%35.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.803.0538.46%35.84%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.51%3.28fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.738%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.22%30.59%30.57%32.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.44%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente del Valle (Local): 36.06%; Flamengo-RJ (Visit): 33.43%; Draw: 30.51%. For Flamengo-RJ (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.640%K +0.952%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.640%K +0.952%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.57%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.57%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -16.09%E -5.85%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -6.60%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.15%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 02:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -6.60%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.15%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.16%EV -1.55%E -0.568%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -4.19%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.80%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.57%EV -6.02%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 00:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -13.45%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.38%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -8.41%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.01%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.12%EV -9.12%E -3.62%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.34%EV -8.75%E -3.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.54%EV -9.08%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 00:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:32 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 06:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 07:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |