Langue:Français
Independiente del Valle v Flamengo-RJ
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente del Valle (Local)
Prévision 36.06%2.77cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.568%
Kelly -0.897%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.91%36.10%36.02%37.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.592.7341.67%38.93%38.54%36.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Flamengo-RJ (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.43%2.99cote équitable
EV +1.95%
Avantage +0.640%
Kelly +0.952%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.48%33.32%33.41%35.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.792.803.0538.46%35.84%35.71%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.51%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.738%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.22%30.59%30.57%32.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.44%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Independiente del Valle (Local) : 36.06% ; Flamengo-RJ (Visiteur) : 33.43% ; Match nul : 30.51%. Pour Flamengo-RJ (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +1.95%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.640%K +0.952%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.640%K +0.952%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.57%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.57%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -16.09%E -5.85%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -6.60%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.15%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 02:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -6.60%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.15%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.16%EV -1.55%E -0.568%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -4.19%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.80%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.57%EV -6.02%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 00:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -13.45%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.38%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -8.41%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.01%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.12%EV -9.12%E -3.62%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.34%EV -8.75%E -3.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.54%EV -9.08%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 00:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:32 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 06:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 07:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |