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Independiente del Valle v Flamengo-RJ
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Independiente del Valle (Хозяева)
Прогноз 36.06%2.77справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.55%
Преимущество -0.568%
Kelly -0.897%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.73
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.91%36.10%36.02%37.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.572.592.7341.67%38.93%38.54%36.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Flamengo-RJ (Гости)
Прогноз 33.43%2.99справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.95%
Преимущество +0.640%
Kelly +0.952%
Рост +0.019%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.48%33.32%33.41%35.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.792.803.0538.46%35.84%35.71%32.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 30.51%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.36%
Преимущество -0.738%
Kelly -1.07%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.22%30.59%30.57%32.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.44%33.33%31.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Independiente del Valle (Хозяева): 36.06%; Flamengo-RJ (Гости): 33.43%; Ничья: 30.51%. Для исхода «Flamengo-RJ (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.99. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.05, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.95%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.640%K +0.952%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.640%K +0.952%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.57%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.57%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -16.09%E -5.85%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -6.60%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.15%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 02:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -6.60%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.15%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.16%EV -1.55%E -0.568%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -4.19%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.80%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.57%EV -6.02%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 00:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -13.45%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.38%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -8.41%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.01%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.12%EV -9.12%E -3.62%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.34%EV -8.75%E -3.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.54%EV -9.08%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 00:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:32 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 06:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 07:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |