语言:简体中文
Independiente del Valle v Flamengo-RJ
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Independiente del Valle (主队)
预测 36.06%2.77公平赔率
EV -1.55%
优势 -0.568%
Kelly -0.897%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.73
博彩公司预测分布
34.91%36.10%36.02%37.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.572.592.7341.67%38.93%38.54%36.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
Flamengo-RJ (客队)
预测 33.43%2.99公平赔率
EV +1.95%
优势 +0.640%
Kelly +0.952%
增长率 +0.019%
假设最高赔率为 3.05
博彩公司预测分布
31.48%33.32%33.41%35.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.792.803.0538.46%35.84%35.71%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.51%3.28公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -0.738%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
29.22%30.59%30.57%32.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.44%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Independiente del Valle (主队)：36.06%；Flamengo-RJ (客队)：33.43%；平局：30.51%。 对于“Flamengo-RJ (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.99。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.05，对应+1.95%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.640%K +0.952%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.640%K +0.952%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -13.04%E -4.58%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.57%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.57%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -16.09%E -5.85%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -6.60%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.15%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 02:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -6.60%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.15%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.16%EV -1.55%E -0.568%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -4.19%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.975%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.80%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.57%EV -6.02%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.52%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.62%E -6.53%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 00:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -13.45%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.38%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -8.41%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.01%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.12%EV -9.12%E -3.62%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.34%EV -8.75%E -3.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.54%EV -9.08%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 00:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.36%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 06:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:32 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 06:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 07:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |