Language:English
Fluminense-RJ v Deportivo La Guaira
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prediction 80.89%1.24fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -3.85%
Kelly -25.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.04%80.72%80.79%83.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.151.1890.91%87.04%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportivo La Guaira (Visit)
Prediction 6.19%16.16fair odd
EV +11.38%
Edge +0.632%
Kelly +0.669%
Growth +0.076%
assuming max odds 18.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.14%6.37%6.23%8.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5015.0515.0018.009.52%6.65%6.67%5.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 12.92%7.74fair odd
EV +7.23%
Edge +0.871%
Kelly +0.990%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 8.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.30%12.91%12.98%14.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.337.508.3015.38%13.65%13.33%12.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fluminense-RJ (Local): 80.89%; Deportivo La Guaira (Visit): 6.19%; Draw: 12.92%. For Deportivo La Guaira (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.16. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.30%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -0.523%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -9.40%E -8.39%K -78.33%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.01%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.69%EV +2.10%E +0.127%K +0.135%G +0.003% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.30%EV +7.23%E +0.871%K +0.990%G +0.072% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.54%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +2.10%E +0.127%K +0.135%G +0.003% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV +2.06%E +0.261%K +0.299%G +0.006% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 16.02I 6.24%NM 5.87%EV -0.872%E -0.054%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.36%EV -1.69%E -0.221%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.14%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV +0.123%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.43%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.32%EV -1.81%E -0.239%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.80%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.80%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -11.02%E -10.02%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-28 00:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.77%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.84I 7.23%NM 6.77%EV -14.36%E -1.04%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.46%EV -2.85%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.44%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.84%EV -18.01%E -1.36%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.72%EV -14.73%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-28 00:07 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.16%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.56%EV -2.72%E -0.361%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.05%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.89%EV -14.73%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.43%EV -13.44%E -2.01%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -25.75%E -2.15%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.45%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -28.84%E -2.51%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -6.34%E -0.874%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.04%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.40%EV -35.03%E -3.34%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.08% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.88% | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |