L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Fluminense-RJ v Deportivo La Guaira
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prévision 80.89%1.24cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -3.85%
Kelly -25.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.04%80.72%80.79%83.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.151.151.1890.91%87.04%86.96%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Deportivo La Guaira (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.19%16.16cote équitable
EV +11.38%
Avantage +0.632%
Kelly +0.669%
Croissance +0.076%
avec la cote maximale 18.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.14%6.37%6.23%8.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.5015.0515.0018.009.52%6.65%6.67%5.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 12.92%7.74cote équitable
EV +7.23%
Avantage +0.871%
Kelly +0.990%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 8.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.30%12.91%12.98%14.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.337.508.3015.38%13.65%13.33%12.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.30%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Casumo | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -0.523%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -9.40%E -8.39%K -78.33%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.01%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.69%EV +2.10%E +0.127%K +0.135%G +0.003% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.30%EV +7.23%E +0.871%K +0.990%G +0.072% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betsson | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.54%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +2.10%E +0.127%K +0.135%G +0.003% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV +2.06%E +0.261%K +0.299%G +0.006% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 16.02I 6.24%NM 5.87%EV -0.872%E -0.054%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.36%EV -1.69%E -0.221%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.14%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV +0.123%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.43%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.32%EV -1.81%E -0.239%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betway | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.80%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.80%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 23:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -11.02%E -10.02%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-28 00:18 |
| GTbets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.77%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.84I 7.23%NM 6.77%EV -14.36%E -1.04%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.46%EV -2.85%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.44%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.84%EV -18.01%E -1.36%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.72%EV -14.73%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-28 00:07 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.16%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.56%EV -2.72%E -0.361%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.05%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.89%EV -14.73%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.43%EV -13.44%E -2.01%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -25.75%E -2.15%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.45%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -28.84%E -2.51%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -6.34%E -0.874%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.04%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.40%EV -35.03%E -3.34%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.08% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.88% | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |