La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fluminense-RJ v Deportivo La Guaira
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Predicción 80.89%1.24momio equitativo
EV -4.55%
Ventaja -3.85%
Kelly -25.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.04%80.72%80.79%83.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.151.151.1890.91%87.04%86.96%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Deportivo La Guaira (Visitante)
Predicción 6.19%16.16momio equitativo
EV +11.38%
Ventaja +0.632%
Kelly +0.669%
Crecimiento +0.076%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 18.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.14%6.37%6.23%8.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.5015.0515.0018.009.52%6.65%6.67%5.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 12.92%7.74momio equitativo
EV +7.23%
Ventaja +0.871%
Kelly +0.990%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.30%12.91%12.98%14.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.337.508.3015.38%13.65%13.33%12.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.30%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Casumo | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -0.523%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -9.40%E -8.39%K -78.33%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.01%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.69%EV +2.10%E +0.127%K +0.135%G +0.003% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.30%EV +7.23%E +0.871%K +0.990%G +0.072% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betsson | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.54%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +2.10%E +0.127%K +0.135%G +0.003% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV +2.06%E +0.261%K +0.299%G +0.006% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 16.02I 6.24%NM 5.87%EV -0.872%E -0.054%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.36%EV -1.69%E -0.221%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.14%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV +0.123%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.43%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.32%EV -1.81%E -0.239%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betway | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.80%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.80%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 23:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -11.02%E -10.02%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-28 00:18 |
| GTbets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.77%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.84I 7.23%NM 6.77%EV -14.36%E -1.04%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.46%EV -2.85%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.44%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.84%EV -18.01%E -1.36%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.72%EV -14.73%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-28 00:07 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.16%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.56%EV -2.72%E -0.361%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.05%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.89%EV -14.73%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.43%EV -13.44%E -2.01%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -25.75%E -2.15%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.45%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -28.84%E -2.51%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -6.34%E -0.874%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.04%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.40%EV -35.03%E -3.34%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.08% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.88% | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |