A Escola das Odds

Fluminense-RJ v Deportivo La Guaira

Início: 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

Final: Fluminense-RJ 3–1 Deportivo La Guaira

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fluminense-RJ (Local)

Previsão 80.89%1.24odd justa
EV -4.55%
Vantagem -3.85%
Kelly -25.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.04%80.72%80.79%83.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.151.151.1890.91%87.04%86.96%84.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportivo La Guaira (Visitante)

Previsão 6.19%16.16odd justa
EV +11.38%
Vantagem +0.632%
Kelly +0.669%
Crescimento +0.076%

pressupondo odds máximas de 18.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.14%6.37%6.23%8.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.5015.0515.0018.009.52%6.65%6.67%5.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 12.92%7.74odd justa
EV +7.23%
Vantagem +0.871%
Kelly +0.990%
Crescimento +0.072%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.30%12.91%12.98%14.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.507.337.508.3015.38%13.65%13.33%12.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016%2.8%2026-05-27 23:39
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016%2.8%2026-05-27 23:40
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:50
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.30%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +11.38%E +0.632%K +0.669%G +0.076%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016%8.1%2026-05-28 00:19
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016%5.3%2026-05-27 23:59
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 23:59
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:00
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 23:50
Suprabets1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -0.523%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 00:19
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -9.40%E -8.39%K -78.33%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +5.19%E +0.305%K +0.324%G +0.017%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016%7.7%2026-05-28 00:19
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.01%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.69%EV +2.10%E +0.127%K +0.135%G +0.003%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.30%EV +7.23%E +0.871%K +0.990%G +0.072%6.6%2026-05-28 00:19
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.54%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +2.10%E +0.127%K +0.135%G +0.003%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV +2.06%E +0.261%K +0.299%G +0.006%7.2%2026-05-28 00:19
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000%16.02I 6.24%NM 5.87%EV -0.872%E -0.054%K -0.058%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.36%EV -1.69%E -0.221%K -0.255%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 00:20
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.14%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016%5.0%2026-05-27 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 00:09
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 23:40
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.81%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -0.996%E -0.062%K -0.066%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 23:39
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV +0.123%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 00:09
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:19
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:20
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.43%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.32%EV -1.81%E -0.239%K -0.275%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 00:19
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +3.35%E +0.419%K +0.479%G +0.016%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.80%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.80%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 23:50
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -11.02%E -10.02%K -110.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -7.18%E -0.479%K -0.513%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-28 00:18
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 80.77%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000%13.84I 7.23%NM 6.77%EV -14.36%E -1.04%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.46%EV -2.85%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.44%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.58%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.84%EV -18.01%E -1.36%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.72%EV -14.73%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-28 00:07
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.16%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.53I 13.28%NM 12.56%EV -2.72%E -0.361%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 00:19
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.11%E -0.414%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 00:20
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 16:20
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.05%EV -6.16%E -5.31%K -38.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.89%EV -14.73%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -19.56%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.43%EV -13.44%E -2.01%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-28 00:09
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -25.75%E -2.15%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -9.57%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 21:29
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.45%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -28.84%E -2.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -6.34%E -0.874%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 21:20
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 21:19
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -6.97%E -6.06%K -46.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -31.93%E -2.90%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.04%EV -8.59%E -7.60%K -66.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.40%EV -35.03%E -3.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -16.03%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-27 21:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39%0.2%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39%0.2%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.08%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59%0.5%2026-05-28 00:20
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.88%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%0.7%2026-05-28 00:10