Language:English
Fluminense-RJ v Club Bolívar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prediction 79.00%1.27fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -16.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.08%78.93%78.98%81.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.45%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Club Bolívar (Visit)
Prediction 6.63%15.09fair odd
EV +12.67%
Edge +0.745%
Kelly +0.792%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 17.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.37%6.68%6.56%8.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0014.6215.0017.009.09%6.84%6.67%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.38%6.96fair odd
EV +7.82%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.56%14.40%14.45%17.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.606.507.5018.52%15.16%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fluminense-RJ (Local): 79.00%; Club Bolívar (Visit): 6.63%; Draw: 14.38%. For Club Bolívar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.09. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.39%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.39%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.77%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.15%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.15%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.03%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.67%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.30%EV -5.84%E -0.891%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -22.37%E -4.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -22.37%E -4.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.35%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 16.10I 6.21%NM 5.91%EV +6.71%E +0.417%K +0.444%G +0.030% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.74%EV -7.13%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.76%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.04%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.80%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 14.70I 6.80%NM 6.40%EV -2.57%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.84%EV -2.24%E -0.330%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.31%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -10.87%E -1.75%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.13%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 13.86I 7.22%NM 6.82%EV -8.14%E -0.587%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.05%EV -9.72%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-19 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-19 19:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.22%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -20.93%E -3.81%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.00%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -23.78%E -2.07%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.14%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.49%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.99%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.79% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.79% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.48% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73% | 1.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |