L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Fluminense-RJ v Club Bolívar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prévision 79.00%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -16.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.08%78.93%78.98%81.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.45%85.47%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Club Bolívar (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.63%15.09cote équitable
EV +12.67%
Avantage +0.745%
Kelly +0.792%
Croissance +0.100%
avec la cote maximale 17.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.37%6.68%6.56%8.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0014.6215.0017.009.09%6.84%6.67%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 14.38%6.96cote équitable
EV +7.82%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.094%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.56%14.40%14.45%17.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.606.507.5018.52%15.16%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.39%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.39%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.77%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.15%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.15%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.03%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.67%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.30%EV -5.84%E -0.891%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -22.37%E -4.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -22.37%E -4.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.35%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 16.10I 6.21%NM 5.91%EV +6.71%E +0.417%K +0.444%G +0.030% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.74%EV -7.13%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 18:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.76%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 21:20 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| William Hill | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.04%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.80%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 20:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| GTbets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 14.70I 6.80%NM 6.40%EV -2.57%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.84%EV -2.24%E -0.330%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.31%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -10.87%E -1.75%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.13%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 13.86I 7.22%NM 6.82%EV -8.14%E -0.587%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.05%EV -9.72%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-19 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-19 19:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.22%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -20.93%E -3.81%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.00%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -23.78%E -2.07%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.14%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.49%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.99%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.79% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.79% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.48% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73% | 1.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |